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Methane – the elephant in the room. Or the mouse that roared?

We all know methane's a big deal. But what sort of deal is it?

It's this...

Cattle and other ruminants produce lots of methane. Second only to the energy business.

But there's another problem.

Even though methane's a potent greenhouse gas  30 times more so than carbon dioxide  methane only lasts in the atmosphere for about 12 years. 

Carbon dioxide, on the other hand, lasts a lot... lot... longer in the atmosphere. After 100 years forty percent of that carbon dioxide's still there. After 1,000 years it's twenty percent. And after 10,000 years  or more  10 percent is still in the atmosphere.

So, once it's there, it just keeps on warming. For a long, long time. 

And, that's the dilemma we face.

Do we go for a quick fix and make severe cuts to methane emissions from animals  even though methane's a short term problem. Or do we tackle carbon dioxide which is a much bigger, much longer term, problem. 

The jury's still out on this one. 

But here are the facts.

Fact one, we can't afford to put more methane into the atmosphere. Fact two, if we keep methane levels just as they are then they won't cause any extra warming.  

And this is when it gets a bit more complicated.

It's not just cows and other ruminants that emit methane. It's emitted by energy companies, landfill sites, and even rice paddies. 

 

closed bins in a row on a pavement
20% of global methane emissions come from landfill. Global waste is expected to grow by 70% from 2016 levels

 

But  and here's the important bit  methane that comes from cattle (and grass feeding animals) operates as a closed loop. While Methane that comes from other sources doesn't work quite like that. 

… and you may have to read the next bit twice. Slowly.

Grass takes carbon dioxide from the air and turns it into carbon... cattle eat the carbon and turn it into methane... methane goes into the air, and over 12 years, it turns back into carbon dioxide. Then the whole process starts all over again.  

In short, carbon dioxide makes carbon. The carbon makes methane. And the methane turns back into carbon dioxide again.  

It just goes round and round... getting recycled. Nothing new is added. And nothing's taken away. 

That is, until you add extra methane to the system. 

There's two ways to add more methane. Put more cows and other ruminants into the system... that's clearly a no, no.

Or add more methane from sources like oil, gas and coal. Or landfill. Or rice paddies.

And if you do that, this is what happens:

You add more  new  methane to the atmosphere. Which means more  new  carbon dioxide. Which means more  new  global warming.  

So it's all down to which is the biggest problem? Carbon dioxide for ever. Or cattle generated, recycled methane, for now.

It's hardly surprising there's a lot of debate about this. 

But, you've now got the pertinent information  and you’re free to judge it how you will.

 

SOURCES

Methane tracker 2020
International Energy Agency
March 2020

Nationwide shift to grass-fed beef requires larger cattle population
IOP Science
Matthew N Hayek and Rachael D Garrett – March 2018

Methane has been the Achille’s heel for cattle emissions, but it may be part of a climate solution Clarity and Leadership for Environmental Awareness and Research 
University of California
Davis – November 2020


Are livestock always bad for the planet? Rethinking the protein transition and climate change debate
Pastres
Houzer, E. and Scoones –  October 2021

Emissions by sector
Our World in Data
Hannah Ritchie and Max Roser

Regenerative organic agriculture and the soil carbon solution
Rodale Institute
Jeff Moyer, Andrew Smith, PhD, Yichao Rui, PhD, Jennifer Hayden, PhD – September 2020

Methane and the sustainability of ruminant livestock
Food Climate Research Network
John Lynch, Tara Garnett, Martin Persson, Elin Röös and Andy Reisinger – May 2020

CPRE’s Vision for the future of farming: The future of beef and sheep farming
Campaign to Protect Rural England – August 2012

Climate change indicators: Atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases
United States Environmental Protection Agency – July 2020

Livestock and landscapes
Food and Agriculture Organisation of the United Nations – 2012

Methane and climate change
International Energy Agency – 2021

Greenhouse effect 101
Natural Resources Defence Council
Melissa Denchak, Melissa Denchak – July 2019

Grazed and confused?
Food Climate Research Network
Tara Garnett, Cécile Godde, Adrian Muller, Elin Röös, Pete Smith, Imke de Boer, Erasmus zu Ermgassen, Mario Herrero, Corina van Middelaar, Christian Schader and Hannah van Zanten – October 2017

Livestock influence on soil carbon storage
The Wild Life News
George Wuerthner, George Wuerthner – April 2021

What's the true environmental impact of beef farming in UK – plus why I've taken up kite-flying.
Harry's Farm
Harry Metcalfe – January 2021